The St. Louis Cardinals are 14-18 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 18-10 at home. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Sonny Gray is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Elvin Rodriguez. Sonny Gray has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Elvin Rodriguez has a 35% chance of a QS. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Cardinals has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 67%. In Elvin Rodriguez quality starts the Brewers win 64%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Rhys Hoskins who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 72% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-18, 44% -272 | Record at Home | 18-10, 64% 508 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 42 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-2, 33% -107 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-13, 55% 404 | vs Team .500 or Better | 15-19, 44% -366 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-4, 50% -71 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-7, 46% -111 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 9-2, 82% 547 | When Elvin Rodriguez Starts | 2-2, 50% -30 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 117 | Record at Home | 6-3, 67% 210 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-3, 40% -108 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-3, 62% 291 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -47 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-2, 33% -70 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Sonny Gray Starts | 3-0, 100% 260 | When Elvin Rodriguez Starts | 1-0, 100% 83 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-14, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-17, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-34, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS | 9-2, 82% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Elvin Rodriguez STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 19-13, 59% +433 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 14-14, 50% -218 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-3, 73% +539 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-4, 56% +49
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 19-13, 59% +223 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 16-12, 57% +74 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-4, 64% +214 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-5, 44% -181
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 10-14, 42% -540 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 11-16, 41% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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