The Kansas City Royals are 19-13 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 18-13 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Seth Lugo is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Will Warren. Seth Lugo has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Will Warren has a 42% chance of a QS. If Seth Lugo has a quality start the Royals has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 52%. In Will Warren quality starts the Yankees win 72%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-13, 58% -64 | Record at Home | 19-13, 59% 161 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 3-0, 100% 173 | VS New York Yankees | 0-3, 0% -300 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-16, 59% 4 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-23, 45% -155 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 16-9, 64% 98 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-2, 75% 450 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Will Warren Starts | 5-6, 45% -280 | When Seth Lugo Starts | 5-5, 50% -54 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 61 | Record at Home | 3-6, 33% -259 | New York Yankees |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 107 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-9, 40% -159 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-3, 67% 16 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 152 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Will Warren Starts | 2-1, 67% -15 | When Seth Lugo Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | New York Yankees |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-15, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 12-20, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-40, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Will Warren STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS | 3-7, 30% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 12-19, 39% -867 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 20-12, 62% +604 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-6, 45% -302 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-2, 78% +554
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 20-11, 65% +324 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 21-11, 66% +471 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 8-3, 73% +227 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-4, 56% +70
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 14-12, 54% + 80 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 22-10, 69% + 1100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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