June 12, 2025 5:32 AM EST

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros 6/12/2025

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The Houston Astros are 22-12 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 6-26 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Spencer Arrighetti is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Martin Perez. Spencer Arrighetti has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Martin Perez has a 40% chance of a QS. If Spencer Arrighetti has a quality start the Astros has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 69%. In Martin Perez quality starts the White Sox win 62%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Mike Tauchman who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Chicago White SoxRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-26, 19% -1451Record at Home22-12, 65% 499Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros2-1, 67% 269VS Chicago White Sox1-2, 33% -162Chicago White Sox
vs Team .500 or Better7-27, 21% -1507vs Team Under .50010-7, 59% 79Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog6-26, 19% -1451Record As Home Favorite18-11, 62% 160Houston Astros
When Martin Perez Starts1-3, 25% -164When Spencer Arrighetti Starts1-1, 50% -20Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Chicago White SoxRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-9, 25% -356Record at Home9-3, 75% 391Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesVS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-9, 25% -421vs Team Under .5007-3, 70% 331Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog3-9, 25% -356Record As Home Favorite7-3, 70% 157Houston Astros
When Martin Perez Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Spencer Arrighetti Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago White SoxRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-20, 35% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME14-18, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-8, 27% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Spencer Arrighetti STARTS0-2, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 18-14, 56% +53 Houston Astros Home Games: 22-12, 65% +616 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 7-5, 58% -126 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-3, 75% +409

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 26-6, 81% +483 Houston Astros Home Games: 19-15, 56% -71 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 9-3, 75% +84 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-6, 50% -225

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 20-10, 67% + 900 Houston Astros Home Games: 17-14, 55% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 8-2, 80% + 580 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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