The St. Louis Cardinals are 19-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 11-16 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Miles Mikolas has a 47% chance of a QS and Chris Bassitt a 43% chance. If Miles Mikolas has a quality start the Cardinals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 63%. If Chris Bassitt has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-16, 41% -320 | Record at Home | 19-9, 68% 867 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-20, 38% -806 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-13, 55% 404 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-5, 17% -423 | Record as Home Underdog | 10-4, 71% 707 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Chris Bassitt Starts | 7-4, 64% 170 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 7-6, 54% 131 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-4, 43% -32 | Record at Home | 4-3, 57% 41 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-8, 27% -516 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-3, 57% 160 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-1, 50% 10 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Chris Bassitt Starts | 3-1, 75% 127 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 4-1, 80% 328 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-17, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-12, 56% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-5, 29% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chris Bassitt STARTS | 3-8, 27% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 7-6, 54% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 13-14, 48% -239 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 18-10, 64% +686 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-3, 57% +14 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 3-4, 43% -154
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 12-15, 44% -508 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 19-9, 68% +695 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-3, 57% +14 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-2, 71% +182
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 12-13, 48% -230 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 16-10, 62% + 500 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30
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