The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 9-17 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Mitch Keller is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara. Mitch Keller has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 46% chance of a QS. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 68%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 58%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Dane Myers who averaged 1.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-17, 35% -219 | Record at Home | 14-17, 45% -212 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-1, 75% 225 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-3, 25% -232 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 12-15, 44% -173 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-11, 52% 314 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-15, 35% -84 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-7, 42% -328 | Miami Marlins |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 4-8, 33% -404 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 3-9, 25% -647 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -95 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 263 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-8, 20% -590 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-4, 60% 504 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-5, 38% -60 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-1, 67% 69 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 1-4, 20% -335 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 1-3, 25% -213 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-11, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-16, 45% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 4-7, 36% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 10-16, 38% -141 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 14-17, 45% -240 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 2-8, 20% -416 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-6, 40% -248
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 16-10, 62% -200 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 14-17, 45% -563 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-4, 60% -62 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-5, 50% -80
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 13-9, 59% + 310 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 14-12, 54% + 80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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