The Boston Red Sox are 10-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 6-11 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Brayan Bello is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Jack Leiter. Brayan Bello has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Leiter has a 37% chance of a QS. If Brayan Bello has a quality start the Red Sox has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 65%. In Jack Leiter quality starts the Rangers win 65%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Wyatt Langford who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 55% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-11, 35% -503 | Record at Home | 10-9, 53% -227 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 4-2, 67% 124 | VS Texas Rangers | 2-4, 33% -246 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-19, 39% -868 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-3, 67% 200 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-7, 36% -256 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-8, 53% -216 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Jack Leiter Starts | 2-2, 50% 14 | When Brayan Bello Starts | 3-0, 100% 264 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-9, 31% -487 | Record at Home | 7-8, 47% -357 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 1-1, 50% -17 | VS Texas Rangers | 1-1, 50% -26 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-1, 80% 231 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-9, 50% -272 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-6, 33% -270 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-7, 46% -346 | Texas Rangers |
| When Jack Leiter Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | When Brayan Bello Starts | 3-0, 100% 264 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-10, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-10, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-9, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-42, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jack Leiter STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brayan Bello STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-8, 53% -138 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-11, 42% -243 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-7, 46% -293 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-10, 33% -373
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-8, 53% -53 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 9-10, 47% -416 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-7, 46% -198 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 6-9, 40% -546
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 13-4, 76% + 860 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-9, 44% -290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-8, 47% -180
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