May 07, 2025 1:43 PM EST

Cleveland Guardians vs Washington Nationals 5/7/2025

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The Washington Nationals are 10-8 at home this season and the Cleveland Guardians are 10-10 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Mike Soroka has a 44% chance of a QS and Logan Allen a 39% chance. If Mike Soroka has a quality start the Nationals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. If Logan Allen has a quality start the Guardians has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 47%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-10, 50% 37Record at Home10-8, 56% 520Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals1-1, 50% -15VS Cleveland Guardians1-1, 50% -2Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .50015-9, 62% 423vs Team .500 or Better9-9, 50% 331Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -51Record as Home Underdog10-7, 59% 620Washington Nationals
When Logan Allen Starts2-3, 40% -75When Mike Soroka Starts0-1, 0% -100Cleveland Guardians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 341Record at Home7-5, 58% 420Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals1-1, 50% -15VS Cleveland Guardians1-1, 50% -2Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better5-3, 62% 114vs Team .500 or Better8-7, 53% 391Washington Nationals
Record as Road Favorite2-1, 67% 62Record as Home Underdog7-4, 64% 520Washington Nationals
When Logan Allen Starts2-2, 50% 25When Mike Soroka Starts0-0 No GamesCleveland Guardians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-6, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-6, 65% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-49, 39% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS0-1, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 11-9, 55% +103 Washington Nationals Home Games: 11-7, 61% +526 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-4, 64% +221 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-5, 58% +264

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 12-8, 60% +201 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-9, 50% -233 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 6-5, 55% +8 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -125

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-8, 53% + 20 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-9, 44% -290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260

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