The Washington Nationals are 9-7 at home this season and the Cleveland Guardians are 9-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Brad Lord has a 39% chance of a QS and Ben Lively a 41% chance. If Brad Lord has a quality start the Nationals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 54%. If Ben Lively has a quality start the Guardians has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-9, 50% 52 | Record at Home | 9-7, 56% 522 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-6, 68% 547 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-9, 53% 493 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -36 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-6, 60% 622 | Washington Nationals |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 6-2, 75% 340 | When Brad Lord Starts | 1-3, 25% -155 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 256 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 572 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -67 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-6, 57% 543 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -23 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-3, 70% 672 | Washington Nationals |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 5-1, 83% 326 | When Brad Lord Starts | 1-3, 25% -155 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-6, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-6, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-49, 39% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS | 2-5, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brad Lord STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 10-8, 56% +105 Washington Nationals Home Games: 10-6, 62% +528 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-3, 70% +325 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-4, 64% +416
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 10-8, 56% +18 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-9, 44% -416 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-5, 50% -73 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-7, 36% -408
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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