May 06, 2025 9:34 AM EST

Cleveland Guardians vs Washington Nationals 5/6/2025

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The Washington Nationals are 9-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 9-9 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals starter Jake Irvin is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Luis Ortiz. Jake Irvin has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Ortiz has a 39% chance of a QS. If Jake Irvin has a quality start the Nationals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 57%. In Luis Ortiz quality starts the Guardians win 70%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 57% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-9, 50% 52Record at Home9-7, 56% 522Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesVS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50013-6, 68% 547vs Team .500 or Better10-9, 53% 493Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite2-2, 50% -36Record as Home Underdog9-6, 60% 622Washington Nationals
When Luis Ortiz Starts3-3, 50% -39When Jake Irvin Starts3-4, 43% -34Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 256Record at Home7-4, 64% 572Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals0-0 No GamesVS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% -67vs Team .500 or Better8-6, 57% 543Washington Nationals
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -23Record as Home Underdog7-3, 70% 672Washington Nationals
When Luis Ortiz Starts3-2, 60% 61When Jake Irvin Starts3-2, 60% 166Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-6, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-6, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-49, 39% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Luis Ortiz STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jake Irvin STARTS4-2, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 10-8, 56% +105 Washington Nationals Home Games: 10-6, 62% +528 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-3, 70% +325 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-4, 64% +416

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 10-8, 56% +18 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-9, 44% -416 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-5, 50% -73 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-7, 36% -408

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150

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