The Los Angeles Dodgers are 8-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 9-10 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Ben Casparius is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara. Ben Casparius has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 34% chance of a QS. If Ben Casparius has a quality start the Dodgers has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.6 and he has a 59% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 70%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 59%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Dane Myers who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 44% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 78% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-8, 50% -246 | Record at Home | 9-10, 47% -73 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 3-0, 100% 120 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-3, 0% -300 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 16-5, 76% 266 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-17, 29% -582 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-7, 46% -330 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-9, 44% -120 | Miami Marlins |
| When Ben Casparius Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 3-3, 50% 31 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -271 | Record at Home | 5-7, 42% -234 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 3-0, 100% 120 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-3, 0% -300 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-3, 79% 204 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-14, 36% -309 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-6, 40% -355 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-6, 33% -281 | Miami Marlins |
| When Ben Casparius Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 1-3, 25% -235 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-8, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-38, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Casparius STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-11, 31% -546 Miami Marlins Home Games: 9-10, 47% -372 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-9, 31% -456 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-6, 50% -141
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-7, 56% +9 Miami Marlins Home Games: 10-9, 53% -207 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-7, 46% -226 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-5, 58% +24
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-11, 39% -510 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
