The St. Louis Cardinals are 10-6 at home this season and the New York Mets are 9-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Erick Fedde is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Blade Tidwell ®. Erick Fedde has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Blade Tidwell ® has a 34% chance of a QS. If Erick Fedde has a quality start the Cardinals has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.9 and he has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 58%. In Blade Tidwell ® quality starts the Mets win 72%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-8, 53% -135 | Record at Home | 10-6, 62% 366 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 5-0, 100% 345 | VS New York Mets | 0-5, 0% -500 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-6, 71% 365 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-12, 33% -517 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-5, 58% -47 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-3, 67% 370 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Blade Tidwell ® Starts | 14-5, 74% 802 | When Erick Fedde Starts | 1-5, 17% -395 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% -50 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 196 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 5-0, 100% 345 | VS New York Mets | 0-5, 0% -500 | New York Mets |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-3, 79% 446 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-14, 33% -593 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-4, 56% -48 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-3, 50% 65 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Blade Tidwell ® Starts | 10-3, 77% 730 | When Erick Fedde Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-9, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-7, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Blade Tidwell ® STARTS | 13-6, 68% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Erick Fedde STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 11-6, 65% +107 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 10-6, 62% +380 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-4, 64% +145 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-5, 50% -14
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 9-8, 53% -162 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 9-7, 56% +53 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-6, 45% -225 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-5, 50% -117
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-8, 50% -80 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
