The Cincinnati Reds are 9-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 5-12 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Nick Lodolo is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Trevor Williams. Nick Lodolo has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Williams has a 22% chance of a QS. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 76%. In Trevor Williams quality starts the Nationals win 59%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Austin Hays who averaged 2.69 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is CJ Abrams who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 42% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-12, 29% -689 | Record at Home | 9-7, 56% -17 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-0, 100% 54 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-12, 40% -67 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -93 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-9, 25% -543 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-4, 64% 92 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 2-4, 33% -126 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 4-2, 67% 148 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-9, 36% -389 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 205 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-0, 100% 54 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% 297 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-6, 40% -186 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-7, 30% -343 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-2, 75% 212 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Trevor Williams Starts | 2-3, 40% -26 | When Nick Lodolo Starts | 3-2, 60% 68 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-10, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-8, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Williams STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Lodolo STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 10-7, 59% -23 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 10-6, 62% +153 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -319 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-3, 70% +205
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 12-5, 71% +360 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 10-6, 62% +153 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +126 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-3, 70% +205
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-10, 41% -400 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -70 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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