May 03, 2025 7:00 AM EST

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees 5/3/2025

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The New York Yankees are 11-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 5-5 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Zack Littell. Clarke Schmidt has a 37% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zack Littell has a 30% chance of a QS. If Clarke Schmidt has a quality start the Yankees has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 56%. In Zack Littell quality starts the Rays win 71%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Kameron Misner who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 86Record at Home11-5, 69% 185New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees1-4, 20% -330VS Tampa Bay Rays4-1, 80% 182New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better7-10, 41% -267vs Team Under .50010-4, 71% 270New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog5-5, 50% 86Record As Home Favorite11-5, 69% 185New York Yankees
When Zack Littell Starts1-5, 17% -402When Clarke Schmidt Starts2-1, 67% 21New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% 86Record at Home8-3, 73% 181New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees1-4, 20% -330VS Tampa Bay Rays4-1, 80% 182New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better9-11, 45% -182vs Team Under .5009-5, 64% 81New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog5-5, 50% 86Record As Home Favorite8-3, 73% 181New York Yankees
When Zack Littell Starts1-4, 20% -302When Clarke Schmidt Starts2-1, 67% 21New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-7, 30% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-8, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-46, 41% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Zack Littell STARTS1-5, 17% OverOVER-UNDER IN Clarke Schmidt STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-3, 70% +439 New York Yankees Home Games: 7-9, 44% -404 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-3, 70% +439 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-7, 36% -484

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-4, 60% +41 New York Yankees Home Games: 11-5, 69% +243 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-4, 60% +41 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-5, 55% -175

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-5, 67% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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