May 03, 2025 7:00 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers 5/3/2025

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The Texas Rangers are 11-7 at home this season and the Seattle Mariners are 7-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Luis Castillo is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Patrick Corbin. Luis Castillo has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Patrick Corbin has a 35% chance of a QS. If Luis Castillo has a quality start the Mariners has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 58%. In Patrick Corbin quality starts the Rangers win 73%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Wyatt Langford who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Jorge Polanco who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-6, 54% 106Record at Home11-7, 61% 150Texas Rangers
VS Texas Rangers4-0, 100% 339VS Seattle Mariners0-4, 0% -400Seattle Mariners
vs Team Under .5008-1, 89% 469vs Team .500 or Better10-17, 37% -807Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite4-1, 80% 232Record as Home Underdog2-4, 33% -197Seattle Mariners
When Luis Castillo Starts4-4, 50% -64When Patrick Corbin Starts2-2, 50% 8Texas Rangers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-6, 54% 106Record at Home8-6, 57% 9Seattle Mariners
VS Texas Rangers4-0, 100% 339VS Seattle Mariners0-4, 0% -400Seattle Mariners
vs Team Under .50010-2, 83% 532vs Team .500 or Better5-15, 25% -1032Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite4-1, 80% 232Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -197Seattle Mariners
When Luis Castillo Starts3-3, 50% -69When Patrick Corbin Starts2-2, 50% 8Texas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDTexas RangersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-4, 69% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-14, 18% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-10, 23% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-48, 41% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS5-2, 71% OverOVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS2-2, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-10, 23% -664 Texas Rangers Home Games: 9-9, 50% -146 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-10, 23% -664 Texas Rangers Home Games: 8-6, 57% +74

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 5-8, 38% -402 Texas Rangers Home Games: 10-8, 56% -52 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 5-8, 38% -402 Texas Rangers Home Games: 8-6, 57% +14

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-10, 23% -800 Texas Rangers Home Games: 11-6, 65% + 440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-10, 23% -800 Texas Rangers Home Games: 11-2, 85% + 880

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