The Pittsburgh Pirates are 7-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 6-7 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Bailey Falter is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Randy Vasquez. Bailey Falter has a 41% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Randy Vasquez has a 31% chance of a QS. If Bailey Falter has a quality start the Pirates has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 65%. In Randy Vasquez quality starts the Padres win 73%. He has a 7% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Matt Gorski who averaged 4.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 2.69 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -151 | Record at Home | 7-10, 41% -299 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-0, 100% 65 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-1, 0% -100 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-3, 73% 297 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-13, 19% -825 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -67 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-5, 44% -2 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Randy Vasquez Starts | 2-4, 33% -185 | When Bailey Falter Starts | 2-4, 33% -141 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -151 | Record at Home | 7-10, 41% -299 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-0, 100% 65 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-1, 0% -100 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-3, 57% -85 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-13, 19% -825 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -67 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-5, 44% -2 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Randy Vasquez Starts | 1-4, 20% -305 | When Bailey Falter Starts | 2-3, 40% -41 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-6, 62% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-6, 62% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Randy Vasquez STARTS | 1-5, 17% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bailey Falter STARTS | 4-1, 80% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-5, 62% +125 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-8, 53% +243 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-5, 62% +125 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-8, 53% +243
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-5, 62% +134 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-9, 47% -248 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-5, 62% +134 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-9, 47% -248
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-8, 50% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-8, 50% -80
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