The Atlanta Braves are 8-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers who are 7-7 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki. Spencer Schwellenbach has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Roki Sasaki has a 26% chance of a QS. If Spencer Schwellenbach has a quality start the Braves has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 63%. In Roki Sasaki quality starts the Dodgers win 70%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% -239 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 116 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 4-0, 100% 206 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-4, 0% -400 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-4, 79% 273 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-12, 29% -771 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-1, 50% -9 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-3, 73% 216 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Roki Sasaki Starts | 1-2, 33% -163 | When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts | 3-3, 50% -127 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% -364 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 116 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-0, 100% 56 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -404 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-3, 57% 44 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-1, 50% -9 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-3, 73% 216 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Roki Sasaki Starts | 1-2, 33% -163 | When Spencer Schwellenbach Starts | 3-2, 60% -27 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-38, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Roki Sasaki STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Schwellenbach STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-9, 36% -346 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-4, 67% +188 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-7, 42% -146 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-4, 67% +188
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-5, 64% +209 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-3, 75% +272 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-5, 58% +84 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-3, 75% +272
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480
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