May 03, 2025 7:00 AM EST

Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles 5/3/2025

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The Baltimore Orioles are 8-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 6-11 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Cedric Mullins who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-11, 35% -338Record at Home8-7, 53% -9Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles2-2, 50% -20VS Kansas City Royals2-2, 50% -34Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .50011-5, 69% 527vs Team .500 or Better12-15, 44% -405Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog5-8, 38% -115Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -122Kansas City Royals
When Kris Bubic Starts3-3, 50% -71When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts3-1, 75% 175Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-9, 36% -233Record at Home7-6, 54% 23Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles2-2, 50% -20VS Kansas City Royals2-2, 50% -34Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .50010-3, 77% 632vs Team .500 or Better8-11, 42% -349Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog4-8, 33% -210Record As Home Favorite4-5, 44% -190Baltimore Orioles
When Kris Bubic Starts2-3, 40% -166When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts3-1, 75% 175Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-11, 27% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-5, 64% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-9, 25% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-4, 67% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Kris Bubic STARTS2-3, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tomoyuki Sugano STARTS1-3, 25% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 9-8, 53% +68 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-5, 67% +574 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -14 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-4, 69% +591

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 11-6, 65% +227 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-8, 47% -137 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 9-5, 64% +145 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-7, 46% -120

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 11-3, 79% + 770 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-9, 36% -490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 9-2, 82% + 680 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480

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