May 03, 2025 7:00 AM EST

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox 5/3/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Houston Astros are 5-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 5-11 at home. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Hunter Brown is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Davis Martin. Hunter Brown has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Davis Martin has a 38% chance of a QS. If Hunter Brown has a quality start the Astros has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 72%. In Davis Martin quality starts the White Sox win 54%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Andrew Benintendi who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 41% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 81% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago White Sox

Houston AstrosRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -349Record at Home5-11, 31% -324Chicago White Sox
VS Chicago White Sox0-1, 0% -100VS Houston Astros1-0, 100% 205Chicago White Sox
vs Team Under .5005-5, 50% -80vs Team .500 or Better5-15, 25% -604Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite2-5, 29% -349Record as Home Underdog5-11, 31% -324Chicago White Sox
When Hunter Brown Starts4-2, 67% 126When Davis Martin Starts1-5, 17% -355Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago White Sox

Houston AstrosRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -349Record at Home4-6, 40% 36Chicago White Sox
VS Chicago White Sox0-1, 0% -100VS Houston Astros1-0, 100% 205Chicago White Sox
vs Team Under .5008-5, 62% 177vs Team .500 or Better6-17, 26% -654Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite2-5, 29% -349Record as Home Underdog4-6, 40% 36Chicago White Sox
When Hunter Brown Starts4-1, 80% 226When Davis Martin Starts1-4, 20% -255Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-6, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-6, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON29-48, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-48, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Brown STARTS2-3, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Davis Martin STARTS3-3, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-5, 62% +210 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 5-11, 31% -469 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-5, 62% +210 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 3-7, 30% -283

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-6, 54% +18 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 9-7, 56% -194 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-6, 54% +18 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 4-6, 40% -393

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW