May 03, 2025 7:00 AM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels 5/3/2025

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The Los Angeles Angels are 5-6 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 8-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kyle Hendricks has a 43% chance of a QS and Jack Flaherty a 42% chance. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Angels has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 52%. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 71% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-9, 47% -142Record at Home5-6, 45% -73Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels2-0, 100% 134VS Detroit Tigers0-2, 0% -200Detroit Tigers
vs Team Under .50010-3, 77% 371vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -213Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% -7Record as Home Underdog4-4, 50% 57Los Angeles Angels
When Jack Flaherty Starts2-5, 29% -380When Kyle Hendricks Starts2-4, 33% -131Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% 14Record at Home5-6, 45% -73Detroit Tigers
VS Los Angeles Angels2-0, 100% 134VS Detroit Tigers0-2, 0% -200Detroit Tigers
vs Team Under .5009-1, 90% 512vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -213Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 93Record as Home Underdog4-4, 50% 57Detroit Tigers
When Jack Flaherty Starts2-4, 33% -280When Kyle Hendricks Starts1-4, 20% -255Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-6, 65% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS4-2, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Hendricks STARTS4-2, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 10-7, 59% +113 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-4, 64% +427 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% +58 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-4, 64% +427

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 10-7, 59% -2 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-5, 55% +73 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-5, 55% -57 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-5, 55% +73

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 11-4, 73% + 660 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-2, 78% + 480 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

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