May 03, 2025 7:00 AM EST

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers 5/3/2025

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-5 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 11-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jose Quintana has a 45% chance of a QS and Jameson Taillon a 41% chance. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Brewers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 54%. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Cubs has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-6, 65% 553Record at Home9-5, 64% 233Chicago Cubs
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-0, 100% 83VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs
vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 216vs Team .500 or Better11-13, 46% -329Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite5-1, 83% 266Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57% 66Chicago Cubs
When Jameson Taillon Starts2-4, 33% -247When Jose Quintana Starts4-0, 100% 401Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 304Record at Home7-4, 64% 151Chicago Cubs
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-0, 100% 83VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better11-7, 61% 410vs Team .500 or Better9-9, 50% -111Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 115Record as Home Underdog2-3, 40% -116Chicago Cubs
When Jameson Taillon Starts1-3, 25% -238When Jose Quintana Starts4-0, 100% 401Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-6, 65% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-7, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-36, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-34, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS4-2, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-11, 35% -549 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-5, 64% +233 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 2-8, 20% -351 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +151

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-9, 47% -297 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 11-3, 79% +575 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-6, 40% -341 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-2, 82% +493

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-4, 76% + 860 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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