The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-5 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 11-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jose Quintana has a 45% chance of a QS and Jameson Taillon a 41% chance. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Brewers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 54%. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Cubs has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 11-6, 65% 553 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 233 | Chicago Cubs |
VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-0, 100% 83 | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-1, 0% -100 | Chicago Cubs |
vs Team Under .500 | 5-2, 71% 216 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-13, 46% -329 | Chicago Cubs |
Record as Road Favorite | 5-1, 83% 266 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-3, 57% 66 | Chicago Cubs |
When Jameson Taillon Starts | 2-4, 33% -247 | When Jose Quintana Starts | 4-0, 100% 401 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 304 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 151 | Chicago Cubs |
VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-0, 100% 83 | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-1, 0% -100 | Chicago Cubs |
vs Team .500 or Better | 11-7, 61% 410 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-9, 50% -111 | Chicago Cubs |
Record as Road Favorite | 3-1, 75% 115 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-3, 40% -116 | Chicago Cubs |
When Jameson Taillon Starts | 1-3, 25% -238 | When Jose Quintana Starts | 4-0, 100% 401 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
---|
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-6, 65% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-34, 53% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-11, 35% -549 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-5, 64% +233 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 2-8, 20% -351 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +151
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-9, 47% -297 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 11-3, 79% +575 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-6, 40% -341 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-2, 82% +493
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-4, 76% + 860 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game