May 03, 2025 7:00 AM EST

Athletics vs Miami Marlins 5/3/2025

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The Miami Marlins are 8-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Athletics who are 12-6 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Max Meyer is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter JP Sears. Max Meyer has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while JP Sears has a 37% chance of a QS. If Max Meyer has a quality start the Marlins has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 62%. In JP Sears quality starts the Athletics win 65%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Agustin Ramirez who averaged 3.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 80% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Jacob Wilson who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Athletics

AthleticsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-6, 67% 564Record at Home8-9, 47% -55Athletics
VS Miami Marlins1-0, 100% 70VS Athletics0-1, 0% -100Athletics
vs Team Under .50014-6, 70% 606vs Team Under .5006-3, 67% 394Athletics
Record As Road Underdog6-5, 55% 227Record As Home Favorite1-1, 50% -35Athletics
When Osvaldo Bido Starts4-2, 67% 139When Max Meyer Starts3-3, 50% 88Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Athletics

AthleticsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-4, 71% 498Record at Home4-6, 40% -216Athletics
VS Miami Marlins1-0, 100% 70VS Athletics0-1, 0% -100Athletics
vs Team Under .50013-4, 76% 696vs Team .500 or Better6-15, 29% -410Athletics
Record As Road Underdog4-3, 57% 161Record As Home Favorite1-1, 50% -35Athletics
When Osvaldo Bido Starts4-1, 80% 239When Max Meyer Starts2-3, 40% -5Athletics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

AthleticsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-9, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-7, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON56-23, 71% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Osvaldo Bido STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Max Meyer STARTS3-3, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 7-11, 39% -151 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-9, 47% -354 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 5-9, 36% -312 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-5, 50% -123

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 7-11, 39% -633 Miami Marlins Home Games: 9-8, 53% -189 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 5-9, 36% -552 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-4, 60% +42

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 6-10, 38% -500 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-10, 38% -500 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470

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