The Philadelphia Phillies are 12-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 9-7 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Aaron Nola is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt. Aaron Nola has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Pfaadt has a 28% chance of a QS. If Aaron Nola has a quality start the Phillies has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 65%. In Brandon Pfaadt quality starts the Diamondbacks win 68%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-7, 56% 113 | Record at Home | 12-5, 71% 199 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-0, 100% 65 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% 5 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% -120 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 161 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-5, 67% -25 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 5-1, 83% 264 | When Aaron Nola Starts | 1-5, 17% -407 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% -102 | Record at Home | 10-5, 67% 128 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-0, 100% 65 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -233 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-9, 47% -206 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -54 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-5, 62% -96 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 5-0, 100% 364 | When Aaron Nola Starts | 1-4, 20% -307 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-7, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-7, 59% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-6, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-5, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Nola STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 12-4, 75% +388 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 11-6, 65% +50 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 10-4, 71% +268 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 9-6, 60% -21
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 10-6, 62% +195 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 12-5, 71% +199 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-6, 57% -20 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-5, 67% +128
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-9, 40% -390 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-11, 27% -810 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-9, 31% -590 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-9, 31% -590
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