The St. Louis Cardinals are 11-16 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 9-15 at home. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Cade Povich. Miles Mikolas has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cade Povich has a 30% chance of a QS. If Miles Mikolas has a quality start the Cardinals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 60%. In Cade Povich quality starts the Orioles win 74%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 74% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Lars Nootbaar who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-16, 41% -327 | Record at Home | 9-15, 38% -714 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-0, 100% 95 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-13, 50% -101 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-17, 32% -959 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-13, 41% -203 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-13, 28% -922 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 6-6, 50% 29 | When Cade Povich Starts | 3-6, 33% -341 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-5, 64% 535 | Record at Home | 4-9, 31% -529 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-0, 100% 95 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-3, 79% 733 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-12, 37% -586 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-4, 64% 459 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-8, 11% -732 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 5-1, 83% 424 | When Cade Povich Starts | 1-3, 25% -202 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-13, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-9, 61% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Cade Povich STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 16-11, 59% +359 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 15-9, 62% +744 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-6, 57% +129 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-6, 54% +148
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 16-11, 59% +149 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-14, 42% -417 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -109 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-8, 38% -302
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-11, 42% -410 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-13, 38% -630 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
