May 26, 2025 11:49 AM EST

Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets 5/26/2025

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The New York Mets are 17-6 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 5-21 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Clay Holmes is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Adrian Houser. Clay Holmes has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adrian Houser has a 29% chance of a QS. If Clay Holmes has a quality start the Mets has a 90% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 76%. In Adrian Houser quality starts the White Sox win 47%. He has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 47% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 86% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Luis Robert Jr. who averaged 1.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 37% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

Chicago White SoxRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-21, 19% -1146Record at Home17-6, 74% 586New York Mets
VS New York Mets0-0 No GamesVS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better8-27, 23% -1336vs Team Under .50010-6, 62% -49New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog5-21, 19% -1146Record As Home Favorite15-4, 79% 570New York Mets
When Adrian Houser Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Clay Holmes Starts7-3, 70% 165New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

Chicago White SoxRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-9, 25% -366Record at Home5-5, 50% -173New York Mets
VS New York Mets0-0 No GamesVS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-5, 58% 588vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -256Chicago White Sox
Record As Road Underdog3-9, 25% -366Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 27New York Mets
When Adrian Houser Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Clay Holmes Starts3-2, 60% 13New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago White SoxRECORDNew York MetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-16, 36% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-13, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-8, 27% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-40, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Adrian Houser STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Clay Holmes STARTS5-5, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 15-11, 58% +188 New York Mets Home Games: 10-13, 43% -463 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 7-5, 58% +32 New York Mets Home Games: 6-4, 60% +146

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 21-5, 81% +359 New York Mets Home Games: 11-12, 48% -461 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 9-3, 75% +75 New York Mets Home Games: 7-3, 70% +250

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 16-9, 64% + 610 New York Mets Home Games: 10-9, 53% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 New York Mets Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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