The Detroit Tigers are 17-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 14-13 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Logan Allen. Tarik Skubal has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Logan Allen has a 36% chance of a QS. If Tarik Skubal has a quality start the Tigers has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 66%. In Logan Allen quality starts the Guardians win 57%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-13, 52% 147 | Record at Home | 17-7, 71% 523 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-0, 100% 228 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-2, 0% -200 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-14, 55% 219 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-15, 59% 431 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-8, 56% 311 | Record As Home Favorite | 14-6, 70% 255 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Logan Allen Starts | 4-4, 50% -8 | When Tarik Skubal Starts | 7-3, 70% 59 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-5, 58% 204 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 82 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-0, 100% 228 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-2, 0% -200 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-4, 69% 503 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-5, 58% 21 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-2, 71% 332 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -16 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Logan Allen Starts | 2-3, 40% -133 | When Tarik Skubal Starts | 5-0, 100% 240 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-12, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-14, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-49, 39% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS | 3-4, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tarik Skubal STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 14-13, 52% +70 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 14-10, 58% +241 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-7, 42% -72 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-5, 55% -64
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 15-12, 56% +88 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 17-7, 71% +438 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 6-6, 50% -62 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +82
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 12-11, 52% -10 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 14-7, 67% + 630 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370
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