The Los Angeles Dodgers are 13-11 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 17-6 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter David Peterson. Tony Gonsolin has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while David Peterson has a 32% chance of a QS. If Tony Gonsolin has a quality start the Dodgers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In David Peterson quality starts the Mets win 73%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-11, 54% -180 | Record at Home | 17-6, 74% 586 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 83 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-12, 50% -390 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-15, 57% 219 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-1, 80% 279 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-4, 79% 570 | New York Mets |
| When Tony Gonsolin Starts | 2-2, 50% -73 | When David Peterson Starts | 6-3, 67% 125 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 115 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -173 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 83 | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 14-6, 70% 157 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-6, 40% -256 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-0, 100% 288 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-3, 62% 27 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Tony Gonsolin Starts | 2-2, 50% -73 | When David Peterson Starts | 2-2, 50% -60 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-12, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-13, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-38, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tony Gonsolin STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS | 4-4, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-15, 38% -844 New York Mets Home Games: 10-13, 43% -463 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -598 New York Mets Home Games: 6-4, 60% +146
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 14-10, 58% +75 New York Mets Home Games: 11-12, 48% -461 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-5, 55% -78 New York Mets Home Games: 7-3, 70% +250
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 8-11, 42% -410 New York Mets Home Games: 10-9, 53% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 New York Mets Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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