The Kansas City Royals are 11-15 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 16-7 at home. The Royals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Michael Wacha is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Zebby Matthews. Michael Wacha has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zebby Matthews has a 33% chance of a QS. If Michael Wacha has a quality start the Royals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 62%. In Zebby Matthews quality starts the Twins win 68%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Edouard Julien who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-15, 42% -153 | Record at Home | 16-7, 70% 525 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 3-2, 60% 50 | VS Kansas City Royals | 2-3, 40% -45 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 13-20, 39% -649 | vs Team .500 or Better | 15-16, 48% -181 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-11, 48% 170 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-7, 65% 175 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Michael Wacha Starts | 6-4, 60% 199 | When Zebby Matthews Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 505 | Record at Home | 10-2, 83% 604 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Kansas City Royals | 1-0, 100% 162 | Minnesota Twins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% 389 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-4, 67% 313 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-4, 67% 605 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-2, 80% 349 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Michael Wacha Starts | 4-1, 80% 244 | When Zebby Matthews Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Kansas City Royals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-17, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 7-15, 32% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-9, 25% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS | 3-6, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zebby Matthews STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 16-10, 62% +732 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 14-9, 61% +397 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-5, 62% +506 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-5, 58% +210
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 15-11, 58% +99 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 14-9, 61% +189 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -360 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-4, 67% +226
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 16-6, 73% + 940 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 13-6, 68% + 640 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
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