The Tampa Bay Rays are 11-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 9-12 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Drew Rasmussen is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Eric Lauer. Drew Rasmussen has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Eric Lauer has a 42% chance of a QS. If Drew Rasmussen has a quality start the Rays has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 61%. In Eric Lauer quality starts the Blue Jays win 61%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-12, 43% -148 | Record at Home | 11-17, 39% -900 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-1, 50% -32 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% 5 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-9, 62% 528 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-15, 38% -425 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-8, 50% 175 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-11, 45% -507 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Eric Lauer Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 2-6, 25% -432 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% 62 | Record at Home | 2-7, 22% -521 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-1, 50% -32 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-1, 50% 5 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% 21 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -33 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 185 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-4, 20% -323 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Eric Lauer Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 1-3, 25% -186 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-12, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-15, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Eric Lauer STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rasmussen STARTS | 3-5, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-12, 43% -353 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 15-13, 54% +17 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -102 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 3-6, 33% -339
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-13, 38% -622 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 16-12, 57% +15 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -102 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-4, 56% -4
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-11, 45% -310 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 13-10, 57% + 200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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