The Houston Astros are 15-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 10-8 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Ryan Gusto is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners starter Emerson Hancock. Ryan Gusto has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Emerson Hancock has a 25% chance of a QS. If Ryan Gusto has a quality start the Astros has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 62%. In Emerson Hancock quality starts the Mariners win 70%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Jorge Polanco who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-8, 56% 155 | Record at Home | 15-9, 62% 248 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 2-1, 67% 65 | VS Seattle Mariners | 1-2, 33% -107 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 15-16, 48% -346 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-14, 53% -51 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -124 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-8, 62% 143 | Houston Astros |
| When Emerson Hancock Starts | 4-2, 67% 194 | When Ryan Gusto Starts | 3-2, 60% 34 | Seattle Mariners |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-2, 75% 406 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 210 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -314 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-5, 44% -268 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-1, 75% 272 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-3, 70% 210 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Emerson Hancock Starts | 3-1, 75% 190 | When Ryan Gusto Starts | 2-1, 67% 69 | Seattle Mariners |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-6, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-14, 42% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-31, 59% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Emerson Hancock STARTS | 5-1, 83% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Gusto STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-14, 22% -969 Houston Astros Home Games: 15-9, 62% +347 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 2-6, 25% -355 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-2, 80% +477
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 8-10, 44% -399 Houston Astros Home Games: 15-9, 62% +294 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-5, 38% -297 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-2, 80% +424
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 5-13, 28% -930 Houston Astros Home Games: 14-9, 61% + 410 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
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