The Atlanta Braves are 14-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 11-10 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Chris Sale is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Nick Pivetta. Chris Sale has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nick Pivetta has a 39% chance of a QS. If Chris Sale has a quality start the Braves has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 69%. In Nick Pivetta quality starts the Padres win 56%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 46% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-10, 52% -33 | Record at Home | 14-7, 67% 197 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 4-0, 100% 382 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-4, 0% -400 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 14-5, 74% 486 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-14, 44% -543 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-6, 50% 48 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-6, 68% 177 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 6-2, 75% 346 | When Chris Sale Starts | 4-5, 44% -246 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 83 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 40 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -295 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-2, 50% -21 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-2, 50% 32 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 20 | San Diego Padres |
| When Nick Pivetta Starts | 2-1, 67% 135 | When Chris Sale Starts | 2-2, 50% -79 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-10, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-12, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-8, 27% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 26-55, 32% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Sale STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 12-9, 57% +97 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 11-10, 52% -212 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-6, 40% -228 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-7, 36% -441
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 12-9, 57% -16 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 14-7, 67% +165 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-5, 50% -185 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-4, 64% +8
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-9, 50% -90 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-14, 30% -940 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470
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