May 23, 2025 6:10 AM EST

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5/23/2025

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 9-13 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 9-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Paul Skenes has a 62% chance of a QS and Freddy Peralta a 61% chance. If Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 50%. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 50%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-16, 36% -790Record at Home9-13, 41% -305Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5008-5, 62% 99vs Team .500 or Better6-18, 25% -902Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog5-12, 29% -629Record As Home Favorite3-6, 33% -397Pittsburgh Pirates
When Freddy Peralta Starts4-5, 44% -218When Paul Skenes Starts3-6, 33% -294Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-9, 36% -464Record at Home3-6, 33% -161Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 3vs Team .500 or Better5-13, 28% -461Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -267Record As Home Favorite0-2, 0% -200Pittsburgh Pirates
When Freddy Peralta Starts2-2, 50% -66When Paul Skenes Starts1-3, 25% -120Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-14, 39% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-11, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-38, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS2-7, 22% OverOVER-UNDER IN Paul Skenes STARTS4-4, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 17-8, 68% +444 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 10-12, 45% -92 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-4, 71% +450 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 2-7, 22% -490

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 18-7, 72% +601 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-13, 41% -583 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-4, 71% +353 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 1-8, 11% -735

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 14-7, 67% + 630 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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