May 23, 2025 6:10 AM EST

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins 5/23/2025

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The Minnesota Twins are 15-6 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 9-13 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Pablo Lopez is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Noah Cameron. Pablo Lopez has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Noah Cameron has a 48% chance of a QS. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Twins has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 59%. In Noah Cameron quality starts the Royals win 64%. He has a 3% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Edouard Julien who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-13, 41% -233Record at Home15-6, 71% 463Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins3-1, 75% 150VS Kansas City Royals1-3, 25% -207Kansas City Royals
vs Team .500 or Better9-14, 39% -511vs Team .500 or Better9-14, 39% -607Kansas City Royals
Record as Road Favorite1-3, 25% -223Record as Home Underdog2-0, 100% 188Minnesota Twins
When Noah Cameron Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Pablo Lopez Starts4-3, 57% -68Kansas City Royals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-3, 67% 425Record at Home10-1, 91% 579Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-3, 67% 430vs Team .500 or Better4-3, 57% 55Kansas City Royals
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 93Minnesota Twins
When Noah Cameron Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Pablo Lopez Starts3-1, 75% 78Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-14, 30% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-13, 35% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Noah Cameron STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS4-2, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 12-10, 55% +220 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 13-8, 62% +335 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -6 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-4, 64% +185

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 13-9, 59% +67 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 13-8, 62% +127 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-6, 33% -392 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-3, 73% +201

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 14-5, 74% + 850 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 12-5, 71% + 650 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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