The Cincinnati Reds are 9-12 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 13-9 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Hunter Greene is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Matthew Boyd. Hunter Greene has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Boyd has a 34% chance of a QS. If Hunter Greene has a quality start the Reds has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 58%. In Matthew Boyd quality starts the Cubs win 74%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 74% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Austin Hays who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-9, 59% 472 | Record at Home | 9-12, 43% -517 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 144 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-11, 42% -317 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-2, 75% 255 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-3, 40% -109 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Matthew Boyd Starts | 3-5, 38% -268 | When Hunter Greene Starts | 5-3, 62% 82 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% 96 | Record at Home | 3-6, 33% -382 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 144 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-7, 36% -322 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-2, 60% 42 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Chicago Cubs |
| When Matthew Boyd Starts | 2-2, 50% -50 | When Hunter Greene Starts | 3-0, 100% 206 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-8, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-12, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-41, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS | 2-6, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-15, 32% -819 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 10-11, 48% -347 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 2-7, 22% -336 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-6, 33% -382
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 10-12, 45% -397 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 10-11, 48% -347 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 3-6, 33% -317 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-6, 33% -382
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 15-6, 71% + 840 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 12-6, 67% + 540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280
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