May 23, 2025 6:10 AM EST

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals 5/23/2025

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 12-9 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 15-6 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Zac Gallen has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 39% chance of a QS. If Zac Gallen has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 55%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 67%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 72% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-9, 57% 207Record at Home15-6, 71% 826St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better13-13, 50% 18vs Team Under .50013-12, 52% -1Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite5-5, 50% -148Record as Home Underdog9-3, 75% 697St. Louis Cardinals
When Zac Gallen Starts4-5, 44% -72When Miles Mikolas Starts4-5, 44% -83Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-4, 56% 117Record at Home7-2, 78% 402St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better9-12, 43% -269vs Team Under .50010-3, 77% 596St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -13Record as Home Underdog3-1, 75% 227St. Louis Cardinals
When Zac Gallen Starts2-2, 50% 25When Miles Mikolas Starts3-1, 75% 212St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-9, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-9, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-34, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-43, 47% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Zac Gallen STARTS3-6, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS5-4, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 14-7, 67% +356 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 15-6, 71% +840 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-4, 56% +69 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-2, 78% +402

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 12-9, 57% +70 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 14-7, 67% +513 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-4, 56% -3 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-2, 78% +402

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-10, 44% -300 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 13-7, 65% + 530 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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