The Arizona Diamondbacks are 12-9 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 15-6 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. Zac Gallen has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 39% chance of a QS. If Zac Gallen has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 55%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 67%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 72% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 12-9, 57% 207 | Record at Home | 15-6, 71% 826 | St. Louis Cardinals |
VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 13-13, 50% 18 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-12, 52% -1 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
Record as Road Favorite | 5-5, 50% -148 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-3, 75% 697 | St. Louis Cardinals |
When Zac Gallen Starts | 4-5, 44% -72 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 4-5, 44% -83 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% 117 | Record at Home | 7-2, 78% 402 | St. Louis Cardinals |
VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 9-12, 43% -269 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-3, 77% 596 | St. Louis Cardinals |
Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -13 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-1, 75% 227 | St. Louis Cardinals |
When Zac Gallen Starts | 2-2, 50% 25 | When Miles Mikolas Starts | 3-1, 75% 212 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
---|
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-9, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Zac Gallen STARTS | 3-6, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 14-7, 67% +356 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 15-6, 71% +840 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-4, 56% +69 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-2, 78% +402
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 12-9, 57% +70 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 14-7, 67% +513 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-4, 56% -3 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-2, 78% +402
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-10, 44% -300 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 13-7, 65% + 530 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game