May 22, 2025 4:37 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros 5/22/2025

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The Seattle Mariners are 10-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 15-9 at home. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter George Kirby is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Lance McCullers. George Kirby has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lance McCullers has a 38% chance of a QS. If George Kirby has a quality start the Mariners has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 61%. In Lance McCullers quality starts the Astros win 69%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Jorge Polanco who averaged 2.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 71% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-8, 56% 155Record at Home15-9, 62% 248Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros2-1, 67% 65VS Seattle Mariners1-2, 33% -107Seattle Mariners
vs Team .500 or Better15-16, 48% -346vs Team .500 or Better16-14, 53% -51Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite6-2, 75% 279Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 105Seattle Mariners
When George Kirby Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Lance McCullers Starts0-2, 0% -200Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-3, 67% 306Record at Home8-3, 73% 310Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% -14vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% -81Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 134Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 100Seattle Mariners
When George Kirby Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Lance McCullers Starts0-2, 0% -200Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-6, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-14, 42% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN George Kirby STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Lance McCullers STARTS2-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-14, 22% -969 Houston Astros Home Games: 15-9, 62% +347 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 2-7, 22% -455 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-2, 82% +577

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 8-10, 44% -399 Houston Astros Home Games: 15-9, 62% +294 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-5, 44% -217 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-2, 82% +524

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 5-13, 28% -930 Houston Astros Home Games: 14-9, 61% + 410 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370

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