The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 11-10 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Stephen Kolek. Bowden Francis has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Stephen Kolek has a 32% chance of a QS. If Bowden Francis has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 60%. In Stephen Kolek quality starts the Padres win 69%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-10, 52% -33 | Record at Home | 12-9, 57% 114 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 13-10, 57% 119 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-12, 33% -562 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-4, 56% -81 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-4, 56% 122 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Stephen Kolek Starts | 2-0, 100% 146 | When Bowden Francis Starts | 3-6, 33% -350 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 188 | Record at Home | 4-4, 50% -73 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-2, 82% 429 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -79 | San Diego Padres |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-2, 67% 51 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 91 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Stephen Kolek Starts | 2-0, 100% 146 | When Bowden Francis Starts | 1-3, 25% -195 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-10, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Kolek STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Bowden Francis STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 12-9, 57% +97 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 11-10, 52% -84 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-6, 45% -123 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-4, 50% -73
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 12-9, 57% -16 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 12-9, 57% +60 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-6, 45% -285 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-4, 50% -73
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-9, 50% -90 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-11, 39% -510 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 2-3, 40% -130
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