May 22, 2025 4:37 AM EST

Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies 5/22/2025

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 11-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 5-15 at home. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter German Marquez. Ranger Suarez has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while German Marquez has a 14% chance of a QS. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 92% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 82%. In German Marquez quality starts the Rockies win 52%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Hunter Goodman who averaged 1.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 32% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 3.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 86% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-10, 52% -167Record at Home5-15, 25% -761Philadelphia Phillies
VS Colorado Rockies3-0, 100% 114VS Philadelphia Phillies0-3, 0% -300Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team Under .50013-5, 72% 256vs Team .500 or Better3-24, 11% -1881Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite9-6, 60% 26Record as Home Underdog4-14, 22% -750Philadelphia Phillies
When Ranger Suarez Starts1-1, 50% -20When German Marquez Starts1-8, 11% -575Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 138Record at Home2-9, 18% -455Philadelphia Phillies
VS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesVS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 40vs Team .500 or Better2-9, 18% -455Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite6-3, 67% 145Record as Home Underdog2-9, 18% -455Philadelphia Phillies
When Ranger Suarez Starts1-1, 50% -20When German Marquez Starts1-4, 20% -175Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-13, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-10, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN German Marquez STARTS6-3, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 10-11, 48% -421 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 13-7, 65% +355 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-6, 45% -384 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 8-3, 73% +358

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 12-9, 57% -45 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 14-6, 70% +323 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-4, 64% +107 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 9-2, 82% +326

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 10-10, 50% -100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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