The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-16 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 9-13 at home. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Elvin Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Mike Burrows. Elvin Rodriguez has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Burrows has a 35% chance of a QS. If Elvin Rodriguez has a quality start the Brewers has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 59%. In Mike Burrows quality starts the Pirates win 70%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-16, 36% -790 | Record at Home | 9-13, 41% -305 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-5, 62% 99 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-18, 25% -902 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-4, 50% -161 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-7, 46% 92 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Elvin Rodriguez Starts | 1-2, 33% -113 | When Mike Burrows Starts | 0-0 No Games | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-9, 40% -344 | Record at Home | 3-6, 33% -161 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-3, 50% -77 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-13, 28% -461 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-3, 40% -197 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-4, 43% 39 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Elvin Rodriguez Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Mike Burrows Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-14, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-11, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Elvin Rodriguez STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mike Burrows STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 17-8, 68% +444 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 10-12, 45% -92 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 11-4, 73% +570 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 2-7, 22% -490
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 18-7, 72% +601 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-13, 41% -583 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 10-5, 67% +253 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 1-8, 11% -735
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 14-7, 67% + 630 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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