May 22, 2025 4:37 AM EST

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers 5/22/2025

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The Detroit Tigers are 17-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 11-10 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jack Flaherty has a 45% chance of a QS and Tanner Bibee a 41% chance. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 63%. If Tanner Bibee has a quality start the Guardians has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 40%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-10, 52% 124Record at Home17-5, 77% 723Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesVS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better12-10, 55% 118vs Team .500 or Better13-12, 52% 16Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog7-7, 50% 88Record As Home Favorite14-4, 78% 455Detroit Tigers
When Tanner Bibee Starts5-3, 62% 119When Jack Flaherty Starts3-6, 33% -393Cleveland Guardians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-2, 67% 181Record at Home8-3, 73% 247Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesVS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% 58vs Team .500 or Better2-3, 40% -133Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 109Record As Home Favorite7-3, 70% 149Detroit Tigers
When Tanner Bibee Starts3-1, 75% 156When Jack Flaherty Starts2-3, 40% -131Cleveland Guardians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-6, 68% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-12, 40% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-49, 39% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Bibee STARTS4-3, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS5-3, 62% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 11-10, 52% +83 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 14-8, 64% +441 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 2-4, 33% -59 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +141

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 12-9, 57% +101 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 17-5, 77% +638 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-3, 50% -49 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-3, 73% +247

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 10-8, 56% + 120 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 14-6, 70% + 740 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 1-3, 25% -230 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 9-2, 82% + 680

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