May 21, 2025 3:36 AM EST

Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees 5/21/2025

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The New York Yankees are 13-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 8-13 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Ryan Yarbrough is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Jacob deGrom. Ryan Yarbrough has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jacob deGrom has a 43% chance of a QS. If Ryan Yarbrough has a quality start the Yankees has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 64%. In Jacob deGrom quality starts the Rangers win 62%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Wyatt Langford who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Texas RangersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-13, 38% -515Record at Home13-8, 62% 32New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better8-17, 32% -988vs Team .500 or Better15-12, 56% -177New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog6-9, 40% -268Record As Home Favorite12-8, 60% -61New York Yankees
When Jacob deGrom Starts4-3, 57% -85When Ryan Yarbrough Starts0-0 No GamesNew York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Texas RangersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-7, 42% -229Record at Home5-4, 56% -101New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-10, 38% -507vs Team .500 or Better8-7, 53% -145New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog4-5, 44% -112Record As Home Favorite4-4, 50% -194Texas Rangers
When Jacob deGrom Starts2-1, 67% 5When Ryan Yarbrough Starts0-0 No GamesTexas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-13, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-11, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-9, 25% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jacob deGrom STARTS4-3, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ryan Yarbrough STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 11-10, 52% -236 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-11, 48% -297 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-7, 42% -431 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-4, 56% +20

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 11-10, 52% -151 New York Yankees Home Games: 13-8, 62% +90 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-7, 42% -336 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-4, 56% -101

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 15-6, 71% + 840 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-7, 59% + 230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 New York Yankees Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240

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