May 21, 2025 3:36 AM EST

Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants 5/21/2025

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The San Francisco Giants are 13-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 9-13 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Logan Webb is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Jonathan Bowlan. Logan Webb has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jonathan Bowlan has a 53% chance of a QS. If Logan Webb has a quality start the Giants has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 65%. In Jonathan Bowlan quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Mike Yastrzemski who averaged 1.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-13, 41% -233Record at Home13-7, 65% 144San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better9-14, 39% -511vs Team .500 or Better15-12, 56% 296San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog8-10, 44% -10Record As Home Favorite12-7, 63% 49San Francisco Giants
When Jonathan Bowlan Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Logan Webb Starts5-4, 56% -32Kansas City Royals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-3, 67% 425Record at Home9-5, 64% 57Kansas City Royals
VS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-3, 67% 430vs Team .500 or Better2-6, 25% -334Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog6-3, 67% 425Record As Home Favorite8-5, 62% -38Kansas City Royals
When Jonathan Bowlan Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Logan Webb Starts2-2, 50% -108Kansas City Royals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-14, 30% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-11, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-8, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jonathan Bowlan STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Logan Webb STARTS5-4, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 12-10, 55% +220 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 8-12, 40% -660 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -6 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 8-6, 57% -60

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 13-9, 59% +67 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 10-10, 50% -380 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-6, 33% -392 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 8-6, 57% -110

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 14-5, 74% + 850 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 9-9, 50% -90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 9-4, 69% + 460

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