May 21, 2025 3:36 AM EST

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates 5/21/2025

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The Cincinnati Reds are 11-12 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 9-13 at home. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Brady Singer is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Andrew Heaney. Brady Singer has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Andrew Heaney has a 42% chance of a QS. If Brady Singer has a quality start the Reds has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 66%. In Andrew Heaney quality starts the Pirates win 62%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 47% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Austin Hays who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 76% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-12, 48% -75Record at Home9-13, 41% -305Cincinnati Reds
VS Pittsburgh Pirates3-0, 100% 194VS Cincinnati Reds0-3, 0% -300Cincinnati Reds
vs Team Under .50012-13, 48% -275vs Team Under .5009-11, 45% -155Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite4-3, 57% -14Record as Home Underdog6-7, 46% 92Pittsburgh Pirates
When Brady Singer Starts5-3, 62% 171When Andrew Heaney Starts3-5, 38% -152Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% -177Record at Home3-6, 33% -161Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS Cincinnati Reds0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-6, 45% -237vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 200Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% -1Record as Home Underdog3-4, 43% 39Pittsburgh Pirates
When Brady Singer Starts2-2, 50% 24When Andrew Heaney Starts1-3, 25% -170Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-13, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-11, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-42, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-38, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brady Singer STARTS4-3, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Andrew Heaney STARTS1-6, 14% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 13-10, 57% +75 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 10-12, 45% -92 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-6, 54% -221 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 2-7, 22% -490

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 15-8, 65% +333 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 9-13, 41% -583 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 10-3, 77% +420 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 1-8, 11% -735

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-15, 32% -950 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

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