May 19, 2025 6:34 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 5/19/2025

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The Seattle Mariners are 10-8 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 8-13 at home. The Mariners have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Luis Castillo is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Davis Martin. Luis Castillo has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Davis Martin has a 42% chance of a QS. If Luis Castillo has a quality start the Mariners has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 71%. In Davis Martin quality starts the White Sox win 53%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Luis Robert Jr. who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 44% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Jorge Polanco who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 81% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-8, 56% 155Record at Home8-13, 38% -116Seattle Mariners
VS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5008-3, 73% 386vs Team .500 or Better4-21, 16% -1351Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite6-2, 75% 279Record as Home Underdog8-12, 40% -16Seattle Mariners
When Luis Castillo Starts5-6, 45% -187When Davis Martin Starts2-7, 22% -370Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Seattle MarinersRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-3, 73% 469Record at Home5-4, 56% 363Seattle Mariners
VS Chicago White Sox0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-6, 62% 227vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% 468Chicago White Sox
Record as Road Favorite5-1, 83% 297Record as Home Underdog5-3, 62% 463Chicago White Sox
When Luis Castillo Starts3-2, 60% 3When Davis Martin Starts1-4, 20% -215Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDChicago White SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-6, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-9, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-48, 40% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS6-4, 60% OverOVER-UNDER IN Davis Martin STARTS5-4, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-14, 22% -969 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 9-12, 43% -196 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-8, 27% -555 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 7-2, 78% +590

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 8-10, 44% -399 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 11-10, 52% -365 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 6-5, 55% -54 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 4-5, 44% -268

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 5-13, 28% -930 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 9-7, 56% + 130 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-8, 27% -580 Chicago White Sox Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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