The Chicago Cubs are 13-9 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 10-12 at home. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Edward Cabrera has a 33% chance of a QS and Ben Brown a 36% chance. If Edward Cabrera has a quality start the Marlins has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 49%. If Ben Brown has a quality start the Cubs has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Dane Myers who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.62 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 70% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-9, 59% 472 | Record at Home | 10-12, 45% -43 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-1, 67% -22 | VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -15 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 144 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-20, 26% -672 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-2, 75% 255 | Record as Home Underdog | 8-11, 42% -90 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Ben Brown Starts | 5-3, 62% 142 | When Edward Cabrera Starts | 2-4, 33% -209 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% 96 | Record at Home | 4-5, 44% 17 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-1, 67% -22 | VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -15 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-4, 64% 137 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-12, 29% -198 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-2, 60% 42 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-4, 43% 35 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Ben Brown Starts | 3-2, 60% 15 | When Edward Cabrera Starts | 2-2, 50% -9 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-8, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-9, 59% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Brown STARTS | 7-1, 88% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Edward Cabrera STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-15, 32% -819 Miami Marlins Home Games: 10-12, 45% -526 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 2-7, 22% -336 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-6, 33% -372
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 10-12, 45% -397 Miami Marlins Home Games: 12-10, 55% -219 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 3-6, 33% -317 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-5, 44% -230
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 15-6, 71% + 840 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-13, 35% -730 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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