The Texas Rangers are 15-8 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 7-11 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Jack Leiter. Framber Valdez has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Leiter has a 45% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 53%. In Jack Leiter quality starts the Rangers win 71%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Wyatt Langford who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-11, 39% -531 | Record at Home | 15-8, 65% 221 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-14, 53% -51 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-17, 32% -988 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-6, 40% -331 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-5, 29% -297 | Texas Rangers |
| When Framber Valdez Starts | 4-5, 44% -175 | When Jack Leiter Starts | 3-3, 50% -44 | Texas Rangers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -408 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -391 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-5, 58% -11 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-10, 38% -513 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-4, 43% -208 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-4, 0% -400 | Houston Astros |
| When Framber Valdez Starts | 2-3, 40% -150 | When Jack Leiter Starts | 1-3, 25% -258 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-17, 23% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-48, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jack Leiter STARTS | 1-5, 17% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-9, 50% -190 Texas Rangers Home Games: 12-11, 52% -231 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-5, 44% -181 Texas Rangers Home Games: 6-7, 46% -317
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-9, 50% -164 Texas Rangers Home Games: 15-8, 65% +196 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-6, 33% -408 Texas Rangers Home Games: 8-5, 62% -44
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Texas Rangers Home Games: 14-7, 67% + 630 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Texas Rangers Home Games: 9-2, 82% + 680
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