May 17, 2025 4:12 AM EST

New York Mets vs New York Yankees 5/17/2025

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The New York Yankees are 13-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 11-11 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Griffin Canning. Clarke Schmidt has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Griffin Canning has a 30% chance of a QS. If Clarke Schmidt has a quality start the Yankees has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 66%. In Griffin Canning quality starts the Mets win 64%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 59% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

New York MetsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-11, 50% -250Record at Home13-8, 62% 32New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS New York Mets0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better20-11, 65% 532vs Team .500 or Better15-12, 56% -177New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog3-4, 43% -88Record As Home Favorite12-8, 60% -61New York Yankees
When Griffin Canning Starts7-1, 88% 481When Clarke Schmidt Starts4-2, 67% 89New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% -110Record at Home5-4, 56% -101New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS New York Mets0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better10-3, 77% 490vs Team .500 or Better7-5, 58% 16New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% 0Record As Home Favorite4-4, 50% -194New York Mets
When Griffin Canning Starts5-0, 100% 427When Clarke Schmidt Starts3-2, 60% 30New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-12, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-11, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Griffin Canning STARTS2-5, 29% OverOVER-UNDER IN Clarke Schmidt STARTS3-3, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 14-8, 64% +221 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-11, 48% -297 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-3, 70% +379 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-4, 56% +20

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 12-10, 55% -48 New York Yankees Home Games: 13-8, 62% +90 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-5, 50% -68 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-4, 56% -101

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 11-8, 58% + 220 New York Yankees Home Games: 10-7, 59% + 230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 New York Yankees Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240

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