May 16, 2025 4:36 PM EST

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals 5/16/2025

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The Kansas City Royals are 16-7 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 9-14 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Cole Ragans is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Andre Pallante. Cole Ragans has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Andre Pallante has a 42% chance of a QS. If Cole Ragans has a quality start the Royals has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 57%. In Andre Pallante quality starts the Cardinals win 68%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Brendan Donovan who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-14, 39% -359Record at Home16-7, 70% 420Kansas City Royals
VS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better11-8, 58% 468vs Team .500 or Better9-14, 39% -511St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog7-12, 37% -335Record As Home Favorite12-6, 67% 122Kansas City Royals
When Andre Pallante Starts4-3, 57% 141When Cole Ragans Starts4-4, 50% -157St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-9, 47% 27Record at Home10-3, 77% 308Kansas City Royals
VS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-8, 43% -72vs Team .500 or Better5-9, 36% -327St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog6-9, 40% -149Record As Home Favorite7-2, 78% 103Kansas City Royals
When Andre Pallante Starts3-2, 60% 131When Cole Ragans Starts2-2, 50% -116St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDKansas City RoyalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-10, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-15, 35% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-9, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-44, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Andre Pallante STARTS2-4, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Cole Ragans STARTS4-4, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 12-11, 52% -152 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 13-10, 57% +50 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-11, 35% -699 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-6, 54% -62

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 13-10, 57% -37 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 16-7, 70% +401 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 8-9, 47% -370 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-3, 77% +289

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-10, 38% -500 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 18-5, 78% + 1250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670

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