May 16, 2025 4:36 PM EST

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5/16/2025

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 11-12 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 2-20 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Corbin Burnes is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Austin Gomber. Corbin Burnes has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Austin Gomber has a 32% chance of a QS. If Corbin Burnes has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 79%. In Austin Gomber quality starts the Rockies win 46%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 46% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Hunter Goodman who averaged 1.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 38% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Colorado RockiesRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-20, 9% -1625Record at Home11-12, 48% -269Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-24, 11% -1881vs Team Under .50010-8, 56% -80Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog2-20, 9% -1625Record As Home Favorite8-10, 44% -394Arizona Diamondbacks
When Austin Gomber Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Corbin Burnes Starts4-3, 57% 38Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Colorado RockiesRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-10, 9% -795Record at Home5-8, 38% -327Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-11, 15% -800vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% 75Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog1-10, 9% -795Record As Home Favorite2-6, 25% -452Arizona Diamondbacks
When Austin Gomber Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Corbin Burnes Starts2-2, 50% -13Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado RockiesRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-15, 32% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-12, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON50-29, 63% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Austin Gomber STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Corbin Burnes STARTS4-2, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 16-6, 73% +778 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 11-12, 48% -245 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 7-4, 64% +467 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-7, 46% -148

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 20-2, 91% +600 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 10-13, 43% -459 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 10-1, 91% +276 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 5-8, 38% -362

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 10-9, 53% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580

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