The Philadelphia Phillies are 9-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 12-5 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Luis Ortiz. Zack Wheeler has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Ortiz has a 36% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 59%. In Luis Ortiz quality starts the Guardians win 66%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-10, 47% -306 | Record at Home | 12-5, 71% 422 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 98 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-11, 45% -383 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-9, 55% 100 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-6, 54% -113 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-2, 67% 199 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Zack Wheeler Starts | 5-3, 62% -27 | When Luis Ortiz Starts | 3-4, 43% -139 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -244 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 291 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 98 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% -507 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-5, 64% 291 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-5, 50% -137 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-2, 67% 199 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Zack Wheeler Starts | 3-2, 60% -20 | When Luis Ortiz Starts | 3-2, 60% 61 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-12, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-10, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS | 5-3, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Ortiz STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 9-10, 47% -321 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 9-8, 53% -66 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-8, 38% -424 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-7, 50% -67
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 10-9, 53% -184 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 11-6, 65% +232 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-7, 46% -275 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-6, 57% +101
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 10-8, 56% + 120 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
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