The New York Mets are 14-3 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 12-8 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Griffin Canning has a 38% chance of a QS and Matthew Boyd a 41% chance. If Griffin Canning has a quality start the Mets has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 52%. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Cubs has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-8, 60% 442 | Record at Home | 14-3, 82% 699 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Chicago Cubs | 1-0, 100% 70 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-14, 53% 135 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-10, 62% 327 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-6, 50% 187 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-2, 86% 583 | New York Mets |
| When Matthew Boyd Starts | 3-4, 43% -168 | When Griffin Canning Starts | 6-1, 86% 404 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% 193 | Record at Home | 9-2, 82% 496 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Chicago Cubs | 1-0, 100% 70 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-9, 50% 27 | vs Team .500 or Better | 15-8, 65% 413 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-4, 43% 89 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-1, 88% 380 | New York Mets |
| When Matthew Boyd Starts | 2-3, 40% -150 | When Griffin Canning Starts | 5-0, 100% 427 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-8, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-11, 35% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-40, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Griffin Canning STARTS | 2-5, 29% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-14, 30% -849 New York Mets Home Games: 6-11, 35% -586 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 2-11, 15% -651 New York Mets Home Games: 4-7, 36% -261
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-11, 45% -427 New York Mets Home Games: 7-10, 41% -584 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-8, 38% -471 New York Mets Home Games: 5-6, 45% -259
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 14-6, 70% + 740 New York Mets Home Games: 6-9, 40% -390 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 New York Mets Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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